Fresh indications have emerged that political strategists around President Bola Ahmed Tinubu are grappling with a difficult decision over the future of Vice-President Kashim Shettima ahead of the 2027 presidential election.
Sources within the ruling All Progressives Congress (APC) disclosed that the presidency is weighing several options regarding the choice of a running mate for Tinubu in the next election cycle.
Investigations indicate that although there is no public rift between the president and his deputy, influential figures within Tinubu’s political camp had reportedly resolved more than a year ago that the president might not contest the 2027 election alongside Shettima.
Insiders, however, say the reasons behind the consideration remain unclear, with some attributing it to strategic political calculations rather than personal disagreements.
According to a source familiar with the discussions, retaining Shettima on the ticket could complicate succession planning within the party ahead of the 2031 elections.
“The concern among some strategists is that if Shettima remains vice-president in 2027, it could become difficult to replace him as a potential successor in 2031,” the source said.
Political observers also point to the lingering debate over religious balance on the presidential ticket. Tinubu and Shettima ran on a Muslim-Muslim ticket in the 2023 election — a move that generated controversy in some quarters but ultimately secured victory for the APC.
There have been suggestions within the party that a Christian running mate from Northern Nigeria could help address concerns about religious inclusivity and reduce protest votes similar to those that boosted the candidacy of Peter Obi in the last election.
However, party insiders say the search for a widely acceptable Northern Christian politician capable of mobilising strong electoral support remains a challenge.
One of the names mentioned in political circles is former Speaker of the House of Representatives, Yakubu Dogara, a Christian from Bauchi State. Yet some APC stakeholders reportedly believe his minority background in the state could limit his ability to galvanise votes across the region.
Other options being discussed include retaining a Muslim candidate from the North-East to preserve the party’s regional balance. Among those speculated to be under consideration is the Chief of Defence Staff, Christopher Musa, who some insiders describe as widely respected across Northern Nigeria.
Sources also note that Shettima continues to enjoy strong support among the Kanuri political bloc in the North-East, making any attempt to replace him politically sensitive.
“The Kanuri political structure remains solidly behind the vice-president,” one insider said. “Besides, no one has openly accused him of wrongdoing in office, making the situation even more complicated.”
The uncertainty has reportedly created quiet tension within the APC leadership, with allies of the vice-president said to be wary of political manoeuvres within the party hierarchy.
As discussions continue behind closed doors, party leaders are said to be approaching the matter cautiously, mindful of the potential political implications as preparations for the 2027 elections gradually begin.
